I help companies figure out where to place their bets before consensus forms.

Senior Innovation Expert at TheVentury. Former founder.

Writing about strategy, startups, and how things actually change.

Work

I work with established companies on innovation portfolio design: where to invest, what to kill, and how to build internal capacity for consequential decisions. My clients are typically large organizations that have resources but are losing ground to faster-moving competitors they don't yet take seriously.

Before consulting, I built two companies. That background shapes how I work: I care about frameworks that hold up when execution gets messy.

About

What I am currently building

Currently, I create content on strategy, startups, history, and the decisions that actually matter. For people who find conventional business content too shallow and academic writing too slow.

What I Think About

• Startups & Capital — Early-stage decisions, fundraising logic, how founders think about markets, and where they misallocate energy and conviction.
• Strategy & Decision-Making — Incentives, timing, trade-offs. Why some bets compound and others quietly decay. How to move when information is incomplete.
• History & Power — Coalitions, institutions, and how strategic moves shape outcomes long before they become visible. See invisible patterns.
• How Things Change — Industries erode before they collapse. The interesting work happens before consensus forms.

Connect: LinkedIn

Follow: ✍️ Substack | 📸 Instagram | 🎵 TikTok

Write me: ✉️ Email

https://open.substack.com/pub/martinrudolf/p/europe-applauded-its-own-defeat?r=607yt9&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web